Language:English
Fortaleza v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortaleza (Local)
Prediction 60.13%1.66fair odd
EV -5.60%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -9.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%60.20%59.94%62.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.52%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 15.43%6.48fair odd
EV +7.99%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.82%15.30%15.58%16.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.176.267.0018.18%16.20%15.97%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.58%24.49%24.48%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.804.0030.30%26.58%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortaleza (Local): 60.13%; Londrina (Visit): 15.43%; Draw: 24.45%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV +4.90%E +0.721%K +0.845%G +0.041% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -3.68%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +4.13%E +0.612%K +0.718%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -3.43%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.54%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.79%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -3.43%E -0.548%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.25%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.58%E -0.574%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.48%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.90%E -0.967%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -10.53%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |