La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 60.13%1.66momio equitativo
EV -5.60%
Ventaja -3.57%
Kelly -9.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.89%60.20%59.94%62.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.52%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 15.43%6.48momio equitativo
EV +7.99%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.82%15.30%15.58%16.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.176.267.0018.18%16.20%15.97%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.45%4.09momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.553%
Kelly -0.737%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.58%24.49%24.48%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.763.804.0030.30%26.58%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV +4.90%E +0.721%K +0.845%G +0.041% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -3.68%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +4.13%E +0.612%K +0.718%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -3.43%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.54%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.79%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -3.43%E -0.548%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.25%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.58%E -0.574%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.48%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.90%E -0.967%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -10.53%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |