语言:简体中文
Fortaleza v Londrina
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fortaleza (主队)
预测 60.13%1.66公平赔率
EV -5.60%
优势 -3.57%
Kelly -9.83%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
57.89%60.20%59.94%62.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.52%65.36%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
Londrina (客队)
预测 15.43%6.48公平赔率
EV +7.99%
优势 +1.14%
Kelly +1.33%
增长率 +0.106%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.82%15.30%15.58%16.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.176.267.0018.18%16.20%15.97%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.45%4.09公平赔率
EV -2.21%
优势 -0.553%
Kelly -0.737%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.58%24.49%24.48%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.763.804.0030.30%26.58%26.32%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fortaleza (主队)：60.13%；Londrina (客队)：15.43%；平局：24.45%。 对于“Londrina (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.48。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+7.99%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV +4.90%E +0.721%K +0.845%G +0.041% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -3.68%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +4.13%E +0.612%K +0.718%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -3.43%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.54%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.79%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -3.43%E -0.548%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.25%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.58%E -0.574%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.48%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.90%E -0.967%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -10.53%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |