L’École des cotesFrançais
Fortaleza v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 60.13%1.66cote équitable
EV -5.60%
Avantage -3.57%
Kelly -9.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.89%60.20%59.94%62.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.52%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.43%6.48cote équitable
EV +7.99%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.106%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.82%15.30%15.58%16.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.176.267.0018.18%16.20%15.97%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.45%4.09cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.553%
Kelly -0.737%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%24.49%24.48%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.763.804.0030.30%26.58%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV +4.90%E +0.721%K +0.845%G +0.041% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -3.68%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +4.13%E +0.612%K +0.718%G +0.030% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -3.43%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 21:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.54%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.79%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -3.43%E -0.548%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.25%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bovada | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.58%E -0.574%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.48%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.90%E -0.967%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -10.53%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-23 21:28 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 21:29 |