مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortaleza v Londrina

البداية: 2026-05-23 21:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortaleza 3–0 Londrina

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortaleza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.13%1.66السعر العادل
EV -5.60%
الأفضلية -3.57%
Kelly -9.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.89%60.20%59.94%62.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.52%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Londrina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.43%6.48السعر العادل
EV +7.99%
الأفضلية +1.14%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.106%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.82%15.30%15.58%16.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.176.267.0018.18%16.20%15.97%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.45%4.09السعر العادل
EV -2.21%
الأفضلية -0.553%
Kelly -0.737%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.58%24.49%24.48%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.763.804.0030.30%26.58%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.82%EV +7.99%E +1.14%K +1.33%G +0.106%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.11%EV +4.90%E +0.721%K +0.845%G +0.041%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.36%EV -3.68%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 21:29
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.61%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.06%EV +4.13%E +0.612%K +0.718%G +0.030%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.50%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -2.21%E -0.553%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 21:29
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:28
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:29
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:29
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.09%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -3.43%E -0.870%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 21:15
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.68%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 21:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV +0.272%E +0.042%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 21:29
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 21:29
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 21:29
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.91%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.54%EV -10.41%E -6.99%K -21.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.62%EV -12.22%E -8.37%K -26.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.79%EV -12.82%E -8.84%K -28.48%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.00%EV -1.27%E -0.199%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 21:29
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.79%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -3.43%E -0.548%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.25%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 21:29
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.66%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -3.58%E -0.574%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 21:28
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.48%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -5.90%E -0.967%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 21:29
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -4.66%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.05%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -5.88%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 21:28
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 21:29
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.10%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.44%E -1.24%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 21:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -10.53%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 21:28
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 21:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.38%EV -7.41%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.55%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 21:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.30%E -1.96%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 21:28
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 21:29
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.34%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -12.07%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 21:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.61%E -5.66%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 21:29
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 21:28
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.30%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.44%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 21:29
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -9.81%E -6.54%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -15.15%E -2.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -19.33%E -5.86%K -8.40%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-23 21:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-23 21:29
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.07%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%1.7%2026-05-23 21:29