Школа коэффициентов

Fortaleza v Goiás

Начало: 2026-05-02 23:30 UTC

Итог: Fortaleza 4–1 Goiás

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortaleza (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.15%1.88справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.73%
Преимущество -1.49%
Kelly -3.29%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.14%53.18%53.15%55.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%57.14%54.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Goiás (Гости)

Прогноз 18.71%5.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.840%
Преимущество -0.158%
Kelly -0.195%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.01%18.67%18.75%20.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.354.774.755.3022.99%20.98%21.05%18.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.14%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.32%
Преимущество -1.27%
Kelly -1.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.05%28.15%28.11%29.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.263.253.4033.33%30.69%30.77%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.26%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.12%EV -1.03%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 23:20
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 23:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 22:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 22:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 22:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.32%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:01
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 22:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:15
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 22:51
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-05-02 23:25