مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortaleza v Goiás

البداية: 2026-05-02 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortaleza 4–1 Goiás

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortaleza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.15%1.88السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -1.49%
Kelly -3.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.14%53.18%53.15%55.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%57.14%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Goiás (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.71%5.34السعر العادل
EV -0.840%
الأفضلية -0.158%
Kelly -0.195%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.01%18.67%18.75%20.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.354.774.755.3022.99%20.98%21.05%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.14%3.55السعر العادل
EV -4.32%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -1.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.05%28.15%28.11%29.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.263.253.4033.33%30.69%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.26%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.12%EV -1.03%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 23:20
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 23:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 22:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 22:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 22:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.32%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:01
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 22:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:15
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 22:51
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-05-02 23:25