L’École des cotesFrançais
Fortaleza v Goiás
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 53.15%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.14%53.18%53.15%55.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Goiás (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.71%5.34cote équitable
EV -0.840%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.195%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%18.67%18.75%20.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.354.774.755.3022.99%20.98%21.05%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.14%3.55cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.15%28.11%29.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.253.4033.33%30.69%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.26%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.12%EV -1.03%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.32%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 23:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 22:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |