A Escola das Odds

Fortaleza v Goiás

Início: 2026-05-02 23:30 UTC

Final: Fortaleza 4–1 Goiás

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fortaleza (Local)

Previsão 53.15%1.88odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.49%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.14%53.18%53.15%55.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%57.14%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goiás (Visitante)

Previsão 18.71%5.34odd justa
EV -0.840%
Vantagem -0.158%
Kelly -0.195%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.01%18.67%18.75%20.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.354.774.755.3022.99%20.98%21.05%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.14%3.55odd justa
EV -4.32%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.05%28.15%28.11%29.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.263.253.4033.33%30.69%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:01
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 23:01
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.26%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.12%EV -1.03%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-02 23:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 23:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 23:00
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 23:20
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 23:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 23:10
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:14
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 23:15
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 22:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 23:25
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:01
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 22:55
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 22:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 22:55
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.32%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 23:01
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 23:19
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 22:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:15
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-02 22:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 22:51
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-05-02 23:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86%1.9%2026-05-02 23:25