La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 53.15%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.14%53.18%53.15%55.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 18.71%5.34momio equitativo
EV -0.840%
Ventaja -0.158%
Kelly -0.195%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.01%18.67%18.75%20.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.354.774.755.3022.99%20.98%21.05%18.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.14%3.55momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.15%28.11%29.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.253.4033.33%30.69%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -2.73%E -1.49%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.48%EV -3.80%E -2.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.26%EV -4.33%E -2.40%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.12%EV -1.03%E -0.194%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.30%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -5.39%E -3.03%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.12%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -17.68%E -4.02%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -5.92%E -3.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.37%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.72%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -6.45%E -3.67%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.72%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.53%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.73%EV -18.61%E -4.28%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.13%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -7.39%E -1.49%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -8.32%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 23:01 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 23:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -10.19%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.14%EV -9.64%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.94%E -3.03%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-02 22:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.45%E -1.29%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.95%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -15.81%E -3.51%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -15.58%E -5.19%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 22:51 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.840%E -0.158%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.17% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.01% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-05-02 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.86% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 23:25 |