Школа коэффициентов

Cuiabá v Vila Nova

Начало: 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC

Итог: Cuiabá 1–0 Vila Nova

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cuiabá (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.49%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.094%
Преимущество +0.042%
Kelly +0.075%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.08%44.44%44.41%46.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.63%47.62%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Vila Nova (Гости)

Прогноз 23.12%4.32справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.90%
Преимущество +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Рост +0.097%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.58

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.88%23.14%23.34%26.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.833.804.5830.77%26.11%26.32%21.83%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.39%3.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.44%
Преимущество -1.51%
Kelly -2.28%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.10%32.42%32.25%35.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.822.802.9541.67%35.43%35.71%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.59%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.00%EV +5.90%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 19:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -9.69%E -4.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 19:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:48
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.20%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.55%EV -0.114%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -9.25%E -4.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 19:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.87%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.00%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -22.26%E -9.27%K -15.90%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 19:39
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -13.25%E -6.80%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 19:50
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 19:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 19:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 19:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 06:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 19:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:38
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -21.39%E -6.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -22.54%E -6.73%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:40
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:37
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-06-14 19:50