La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cuiabá v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 44.49%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.094%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.08%44.44%44.41%46.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.63%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 23.12%4.32momio equitativo
EV +5.90%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.88%23.14%23.34%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.833.804.5830.77%26.11%26.32%21.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.10%32.42%32.25%35.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.822.802.9541.67%35.43%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.59%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.00%EV +5.90%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -9.69%E -4.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 19:48 |
| BetUS | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.20%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.55%EV -0.114%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -9.25%E -4.53%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.87%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.00%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -22.26%E -9.27%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-06-14 19:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -13.25%E -6.80%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 19:20 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-12 06:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 19:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 19:29 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-14 19:38 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -21.39%E -6.29%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -22.54%E -6.73%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 19:37 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 19:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 19:50 |