Die Schule der Quoten

Cuiabá v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC

Endstand: Cuiabá 1–0 Vila Nova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cuiabá (Heim)

Prognose 44.49%2.25faire Quote
EV +0.094%
Vorteil +0.042%
Kelly +0.075%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.08%44.44%44.41%46.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.63%47.62%44.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.12%4.32faire Quote
EV +5.90%
Vorteil +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Wachstum +0.097%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.58

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.88%23.14%23.34%26.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.833.804.5830.77%26.11%26.32%21.83%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 32.39%3.09faire Quote
EV -4.44%
Vorteil -1.51%
Kelly -2.28%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.10%32.42%32.25%35.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.402.822.802.9541.67%35.43%35.71%33.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.59%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.00%EV +5.90%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 19:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -9.69%E -4.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 19:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:48
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.20%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.55%EV -0.114%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -9.25%E -4.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 19:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.87%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.00%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -22.26%E -9.27%K -15.90%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 19:39
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -13.25%E -6.80%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 19:50
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 19:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 19:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 19:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 06:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 19:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:38
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -21.39%E -6.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -22.54%E -6.73%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:40
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:37
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-06-14 19:50