مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cuiabá v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cuiabá 1–0 Vila Nova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cuiabá (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.49%2.25السعر العادل
EV +0.094%
الأفضلية +0.042%
Kelly +0.075%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.08%44.44%44.41%46.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.63%47.62%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.12%4.32السعر العادل
EV +5.90%
الأفضلية +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
النمو +0.097%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.88%23.14%23.34%26.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.833.804.5830.77%26.11%26.32%21.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.39%3.09السعر العادل
EV -4.44%
الأفضلية -1.51%
Kelly -2.28%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.10%32.42%32.25%35.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.822.802.9541.67%35.43%35.71%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.59%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.00%EV +5.90%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 19:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -9.69%E -4.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 19:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:48
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.20%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.55%EV -0.114%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -9.25%E -4.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 19:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.87%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.00%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -22.26%E -9.27%K -15.90%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 19:39
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -13.25%E -6.80%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 19:50
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 19:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 19:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 19:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 06:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 19:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:38
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -21.39%E -6.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -22.54%E -6.73%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:40
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:37
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-06-14 19:50