A Escola das Odds

Cuiabá v Vila Nova

Início: 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 1–0 Vila Nova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 44.49%2.25odd justa
EV +0.094%
Vantagem +0.042%
Kelly +0.075%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.08%44.44%44.41%46.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.63%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vila Nova (Visitante)

Previsão 23.12%4.32odd justa
EV +5.90%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescimento +0.097%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.88%23.14%23.34%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.833.804.5830.77%26.11%26.32%21.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.39%3.09odd justa
EV -4.44%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.10%32.42%32.25%35.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.822.802.9541.67%35.43%35.71%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.59%EV -6.13%E -2.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.00%EV +5.90%E +1.29%K +1.65%G +0.097%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.40%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 19:50
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.24%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.28%EV -9.69%E -4.78%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV +4.05%E +0.900%K +1.16%G +0.047%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.85%EV -7.36%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.49%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 19:40
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:48
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.75%EV -10.14%E -5.02%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV +1.74%E +0.394%K +0.511%G +0.009%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.20%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.55%EV -0.114%E -0.026%K -0.034%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.25%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 19:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -9.25%E -4.53%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -0.576%E -0.134%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.07%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 19:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 19:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -2.89%E -0.688%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -7.47%E -3.59%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -15.03%E -7.87%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.00%EV -7.51%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.01%EV -22.26%E -9.27%K -15.90%G +0.000%19.0%2026-06-14 19:39
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.42%EV -8.36%E -4.06%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -13.25%E -6.80%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 19:50
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 19:30
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.98%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 19:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:30
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -7.68%E -2.70%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-14 19:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -11.03%E -5.51%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.14%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.47%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.65%E -3.07%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-12 06:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.58%E -3.13%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.29%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -14.45%E -3.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 19:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV +0.094%E +0.042%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -9.95%E -3.58%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 19:50
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.80%E -4.29%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -16.76%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 19:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -0.796%E -0.357%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -19.07%E -5.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 19:38
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -2.13%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -21.39%E -6.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 19:40
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 41.39%EV -3.91%E -1.81%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -22.54%E -6.73%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-14 19:40
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 41.45%EV -4.80%E -2.24%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 19:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:37
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 41.27%EV -5.69%E -2.68%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -24.85%E -7.65%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 19:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-14 19:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.95%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%1.6%2026-06-14 19:50