Language:English
Cuiabá v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 42.12%2.37fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.48%42.00%42.05%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.172.182.3048.08%46.05%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 25.29%3.95fair odd
EV +0.148%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.050%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%25.44%25.35%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.603.9630.77%27.42%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.59%3.07fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.53%32.56%32.60%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.822.802.9538.02%35.40%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 42.12%; Criciuma (Visit): 25.29%; Draw: 32.59%. For Criciuma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.148%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV +0.148%E +0.037%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.49%EV -8.60%E -3.96%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -9.02%E -4.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.08%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -16.54%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -17.81%E -5.48%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.29%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |