La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Cuiabá v Criciuma
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Cuiabá (Casa)
Previsione 42.12%2.37quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.48%42.00%42.05%43.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.172.182.3048.08%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Criciuma (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.29%3.95quota equa
EV +0.148%
Vantaggio +0.037%
Kelly +0.050%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.29%25.44%25.35%27.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.653.603.9630.77%27.42%27.78%25.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 32.59%3.07quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.53%32.56%32.60%33.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.822.802.9538.02%35.40%35.71%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV +0.148%E +0.037%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.49%EV -8.60%E -3.96%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:02 |
| BetUS | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -9.02%E -4.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.08%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:23 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -16.54%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -17.81%E -5.48%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.29%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |