Школа коэффициентов

Cuiabá v Criciuma

Начало: 2026-05-02 21:30 UTC

Итог: Cuiabá 1–1 Criciuma

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cuiabá (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.12%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.13%
Преимущество -1.36%
Kelly -2.40%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.48%42.00%42.05%43.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.082.172.182.3048.08%46.05%45.87%43.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Criciuma (Гости)

Прогноз 25.29%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.148%
Преимущество +0.037%
Kelly +0.050%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.96

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.29%25.44%25.35%27.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.653.603.9630.77%27.42%27.78%25.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.59%3.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.86%
Преимущество -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.53%32.56%32.60%33.49%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.822.802.9538.02%35.40%35.71%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV +0.148%E +0.037%K +0.050%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 21:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 21:15
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 21:14
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 21:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 21:10
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 20:50
Bovada2.17I 46.08%NM 42.49%EV -8.60%E -3.96%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 21:02
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -9.02%E -4.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 21:25
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 21:25
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 21:00
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.08%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 21:25
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 21:10
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:10
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:10
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 21:10
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 21:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:10
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 21:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 21:23
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 21:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 21:20
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 21:25
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 21:24
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 21:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 21:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 20:50
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:50
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 20:50
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 20:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -16.54%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -17.81%E -5.48%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.29%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-02 21:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-02 21:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%4.1%2026-05-02 21:25