La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cuiabá v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.48%42.00%42.05%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.172.182.3048.08%46.05%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 25.29%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.148%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.29%25.44%25.35%27.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.653.603.9630.77%27.42%27.78%25.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.59%3.07momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.53%32.56%32.60%33.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.822.802.9538.02%35.40%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.29%EV +0.148%E +0.037%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.95%EV -4.84%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -8.18%E -3.75%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.95%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.90%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -4.91%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -3.86%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Bovada | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.49%EV -8.60%E -3.96%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:02 |
| BetUS | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.60%EV -9.02%E -4.18%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.16%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.86%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -6.07%E -2.72%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.22%EV -6.17%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.08%EV -9.86%E -4.61%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.01%EV -6.14%E -2.13%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -6.43%E -1.74%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -12.01%E -4.45%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.74%EV -8.09%E -2.87%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.69%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.00%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -7.76%E -3.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 21:15 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 21:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 21:23 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.44%E -4.39%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.39%E -5.96%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.01%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.96%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.38%E -3.77%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.13%E -1.36%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.49%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -11.35%E -4.17%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.23%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.12%E -2.50%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -14.01%E -4.12%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.49%E -1.89%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -16.54%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.75%E -3.12%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -17.81%E -5.48%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -14.29%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-05-02 21:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89% | 4.1% | 2026-05-02 21:25 |