Language:English
Criciuma v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.49%52.34%52.41%54.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.66%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +0.716%
Kelly +0.874%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 5.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.85%18.71%18.70%20.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.905.005.5322.22%20.42%20.00%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%28.95%28.89%30.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 52.31%; Goiás (Visit): 18.80%; Draw: 28.89%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +3.96%E +0.716%K +0.874%G +0.035% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.74%EV -13.69%E -8.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -0.367%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.31%E -0.249%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -3.19%E -0.619%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.14%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.77%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.95%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 18:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.69%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.59%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.85% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46% | -0.2% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.58% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |