Idioma:Español
Criciuma v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 52.31%1.91momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.49%52.34%52.41%54.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.66%56.82%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 18.80%5.32momio equitativo
EV +3.96%
Ventaja +0.716%
Kelly +0.874%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.85%18.71%18.70%20.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.905.005.5322.22%20.42%20.00%18.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.20%28.95%28.89%30.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Criciuma (Local): 52.31%; Goiás (Visitante): 18.80%; Empate: 28.89%. Para Goiás (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.32. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.96%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +3.96%E +0.716%K +0.874%G +0.035% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.74%EV -13.69%E -8.30%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -0.367%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.31%E -0.249%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -3.19%E -0.619%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 18:48 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.14%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.77%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.95%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 18:57 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.69%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.59%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.85% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46% | -0.2% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.58% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |