Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma v Goiás

Inizio: 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Finale: Criciuma 1–0 Goiás

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 52.31%1.91quota equa
EV -4.28%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.49%52.34%52.41%54.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.66%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Goiás (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.80%5.32quota equa
EV +3.96%
Vantaggio +0.716%
Kelly +0.874%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.85%18.71%18.70%20.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.905.005.5322.22%20.42%20.00%18.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.89%3.46quota equa
EV -3.21%
Vantaggio -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.20%28.95%28.89%30.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Criciuma (Casa): 52.31%; Goiás (Trasferta): 18.80%; Pareggio: 28.89%. Per Goiás (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.32. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.53, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.96%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +3.96%E +0.716%K +0.874%G +0.035%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.74%EV -13.69%E -8.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -0.367%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.31%E -0.249%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -3.19%E -0.619%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.14%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.77%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.95%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:39
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.69%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.59%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.85%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.58%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%1.4%2026-08-15 18:55