StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Criciuma v Goiás

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Criciuma 1–0 Goiás

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Criciuma (Hemma)

Prognos 52.31%1.91rättvist odds
EV -4.28%
Fördel -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.49%52.34%52.41%54.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.66%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Goiás (Borta)

Prognos 18.80%5.32rättvist odds
EV +3.96%
Fördel +0.716%
Kelly +0.874%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.85%18.71%18.70%20.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.905.005.5322.22%20.42%20.00%18.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.89%3.46rättvist odds
EV -3.21%
Fördel -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.20%28.95%28.89%30.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Criciuma (Hemma): 52.31%; Goiás (Borta): 18.80%; Oavgjort: 28.89%. För Goiás (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.32. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.53, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.96%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +3.96%E +0.716%K +0.874%G +0.035%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.74%EV -13.69%E -8.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -0.367%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.31%E -0.249%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -3.19%E -0.619%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.14%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.77%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.95%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:39
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.69%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.59%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.85%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.58%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%1.4%2026-08-15 18:55