Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Criciuma v Goiás

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Score final : Criciuma 1–0 Goiás

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 52.31%1.91cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.49%52.34%52.41%54.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.66%56.82%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Goiás (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.80%5.32cote équitable
EV +3.96%
Avantage +0.716%
Kelly +0.874%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 5.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.85%18.71%18.70%20.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.905.005.5322.22%20.42%20.00%18.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.89%3.46cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.20%28.95%28.89%30.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.3534.72%32.13%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Criciuma (Local) : 52.31% ; Goiás (Visiteur) : 18.80% ; Match nul : 28.89%. Pour Goiás (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.32. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.53, soit une espérance positive de +3.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.96%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV +3.96%E +0.716%K +0.874%G +0.035%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.26%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +3.39%E +0.617%K +0.754%G +0.026%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.74%EV -13.69%E -8.30%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -0.367%E -0.069%K -0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.22%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -1.31%E -0.249%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 18:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -3.19%E -0.619%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 18:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.43%EV -4.13%E -0.809%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.29%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.67%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.79%EV -6.96%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:45
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -11.08%E -6.52%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -6.01%E -1.20%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.14%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -7.89%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.77%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -4.80%E -2.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -6.09%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.45%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.95%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.99%EV -10.71%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:54
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.59%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -7.94%E -4.51%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.85%EV -11.65%E -2.48%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:39
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 18:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.92%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.69%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.59%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -13.53%E -2.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.39%EV -16.79%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-15 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 18:39
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -15.41%E -3.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.85%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.12%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.97%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.58%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43%1.4%2026-08-15 18:55