Language:English
Criciuma v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 47.96%2.08fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.03%48.04%47.84%50.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.63%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.51%21.55%23.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.314.304.7025.64%23.19%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV -3.96%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.48%30.45%30.61%31.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.023.003.1534.48%33.11%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 47.96%; Cuiabá (Visit): 21.55%; Draw: 30.49%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.35%EV -10.79%E -5.80%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.90%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -13.67%E -7.59%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -14.15%E -7.90%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -14.63%E -8.22%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 12:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |