Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma v Cuiabá

Inizio: 2026-09-04 22:30 UTC

Finale: Criciuma 2–0 Cuiabá

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 47.96%2.08quota equa
EV -3.59%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -3.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.03%48.04%47.84%50.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.63%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cuiabá (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.55%4.64quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.87%21.51%21.55%23.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.314.304.7025.64%23.19%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.49%3.28quota equa
EV -3.96%
Vantaggio -1.26%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.48%30.45%30.61%31.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.023.003.1534.48%33.11%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Criciuma (Casa): 47.96%; Cuiabá (Trasferta): 21.55%; Pareggio: 30.49%. Per Cuiabá (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.64. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.28%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.35%EV -10.79%E -5.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.90%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -13.67%E -7.59%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -14.15%E -7.90%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -14.63%E -8.22%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:33
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35