Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Criciuma v Cuiabá

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 22:30 UTC

Score final : Criciuma 2–0 Cuiabá

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 47.96%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -3.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.03%48.04%47.84%50.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.63%52.36%49.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cuiabá (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.55%4.64cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.51%21.55%23.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.314.304.7025.64%23.19%23.26%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.49%3.28cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.48%30.45%30.61%31.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.023.003.1534.48%33.11%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Criciuma (Local) : 47.96% ; Cuiabá (Visiteur) : 21.55% ; Match nul : 30.49%. Pour Cuiabá (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.64. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.35%EV -10.79%E -5.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.90%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -13.67%E -7.59%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -14.15%E -7.90%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -14.63%E -8.22%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:33
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35