Idioma:Español
Criciuma v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 47.96%2.08momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -3.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.03%48.04%47.84%50.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.63%52.36%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 21.55%4.64momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.87%21.51%21.55%23.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.314.304.7025.64%23.19%23.26%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.49%3.28momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%30.45%30.61%31.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.023.003.1534.48%33.11%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Criciuma (Local): 47.96%; Cuiabá (Visitante): 21.55%; Empate: 30.49%. Para Cuiabá (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.64. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.35%EV -10.79%E -5.80%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.90%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -13.67%E -7.59%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -14.15%E -7.90%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -14.63%E -8.22%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-04 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-04 12:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |