默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Criciuma v Cuiabá

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Criciuma 2–0 Cuiabá

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Criciuma (主队)

预测 47.96%2.08公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -3.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
46.03%48.04%47.84%50.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.761.901.912.0156.82%52.63%52.36%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cuiabá (客队)

预测 21.55%4.64公平赔率
EV +1.28%
优势 +0.272%
Kelly +0.346%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布
19.87%21.51%21.55%23.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.314.304.7025.64%23.19%23.26%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.49%3.28公平赔率
EV -3.96%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -1.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.48%30.45%30.61%31.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.023.003.1534.48%33.11%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Criciuma (主队):47.96%;Cuiabá (客队):21.55%;平局:30.49%。 对于“Cuiabá (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.64。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.70,对应+1.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.35%EV -10.79%E -5.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:25
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV +1.28%E +0.272%K +0.346%G +0.004%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -3.03%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.78%EV -3.59%E -1.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.53%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.68%EV -4.57%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:20
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.90%EV -3.89%E -0.873%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -8.87%E -4.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -3.96%E -1.26%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -13.67%E -7.59%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.91%EV -14.15%E -7.90%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%EV -14.63%E -8.22%K -18.75%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.98%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.97%EV -15.58%E -8.85%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.22%EV -6.26%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -11.27%E -6.09%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.69%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.28%EV -4.55%E -2.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.30%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.77%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -7.93%E -2.62%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -7.34%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.55%EV -6.95%E -3.58%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.42%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 12:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.49%E -1.77%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -10.06%E -3.41%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:34
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.90%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.32%EV -10.98%E -3.76%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -10.31%E -5.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 13:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -12.23%E -6.68%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.54%E -2.85%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.43%E -3.85%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.65%E -2.84%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:30
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -8.39%E -4.39%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -13.80%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 12:33
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.03%EV -6.47%E -3.32%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -15.96%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -11.59%E -3.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 14:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.00%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35