Language:English
Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 50.68%1.97fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.31%50.74%50.66%53.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.841.841.9358.82%54.25%54.35%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 19.77%5.06fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.498%
Kelly +0.617%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 5.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.51%19.71%19.80%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.604.505.1923.53%21.73%22.22%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.18%29.54%29.54%31.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.52%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 50.68%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 19.77%; Draw: 29.55%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.51%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -9.28%E -5.18%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -1.76%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.12%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.16%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -14.41%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 21:25 |