La escuela de los momios

Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense

Inicio: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Final: Criciuma 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Predicción 50.68%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.31%50.74%50.66%53.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.841.841.9358.82%54.25%54.35%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Predicción 19.77%5.06momio equitativo
EV +2.59%
Ventaja +0.498%
Kelly +0.617%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.51%19.71%19.80%21.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.604.505.1923.53%21.73%22.22%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.18%29.54%29.54%31.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.52%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.51%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -9.28%E -5.18%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -1.76%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.12%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.16%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -14.41%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-17 21:25