La scuola delle quote

Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense

Inizio: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Finale: Criciuma 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 50.68%1.97quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.31%50.74%50.66%53.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.841.841.9358.82%54.25%54.35%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.77%5.06quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.498%
Kelly +0.617%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.51%19.71%19.80%21.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.254.604.505.1923.53%21.73%22.22%19.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.55%3.38quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.18%29.54%29.54%31.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.52%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.51%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -9.28%E -5.18%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -1.76%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.12%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.16%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -14.41%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-17 21:25