مدرسة الاحتمالات

Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense

البداية: 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Criciuma 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Criciuma (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.68%1.97السعر العادل
EV -2.18%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.31%50.74%50.66%53.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.841.841.9358.82%54.25%54.35%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Goianiense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.77%5.06السعر العادل
EV +2.59%
الأفضلية +0.498%
Kelly +0.617%
النمو +0.016%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.51%19.71%19.80%21.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.254.604.505.1923.53%21.73%22.22%19.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.55%3.38السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.18%29.54%29.54%31.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.52%32.79%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.51%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -9.28%E -5.18%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -1.76%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.12%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.16%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -14.41%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 21:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-17 21:25