L’École des cotes

Criciuma v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 21:30 UTC

Score final : Criciuma 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 50.68%1.97cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.31%50.74%50.66%53.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.841.9358.82%54.25%54.35%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.77%5.06cote équitable
EV +2.59%
Avantage +0.498%
Kelly +0.617%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.51%19.71%19.80%21.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.604.505.1923.53%21.73%22.22%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.18%29.54%29.54%31.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.52%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.51%EV +2.59%E +0.498%K +0.617%G +0.016%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 21:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.12%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.17%E -0.234%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:15
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -9.28%E -5.18%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.81%EV -1.76%E -0.355%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -4.55%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:05
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 51.27%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 21:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.71%EV -9.79%E -5.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -3.15%E -0.642%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.80%E -2.50%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:24
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -13.84%E -8.14%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -5.12%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -3.95%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 21:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.53%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.11%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 21:15
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -8.09%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 21:04
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.16%EV -6.75%E -3.67%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 21:05
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:25
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -9.08%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 21:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -2.18%E -1.13%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 21:25
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.23%E -2.79%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 21:05
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.63%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 21:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.43%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -7.25%E -3.96%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 21:05
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 21:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -11.31%E -6.46%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -11.05%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -4.72%E -2.51%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.03%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -6.24%E -3.37%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.72%EV -14.02%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.35%K -6.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.77%E -4.87%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -14.41%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.39%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 21:05
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -2.69%E -1.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -15.99%E -3.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -14.30%E -4.93%K -7.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 21:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.5%2026-05-17 21:20
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.75%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-05-17 21:25