Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

53%

21%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 53.06%1.88fair odd

EV -7.67%

Edge -4.41%

Kelly -10.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.97%53.06%53.06%53.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.651.711.741.7461%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Visit)

Prediction 21.23%4.71fair odd

EV -4.48%

Edge -0.997%

Kelly -1.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.75%21.23%21.23%21.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.104.364.504.5024%23%22%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd

EV -6.16%

Edge -1.69%

Kelly -2.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.58%25.71%25.71%25.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.403.563.653.6529%28%27%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
Unibet (SE)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
Casumo	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
Unibet (NL)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
Svenska Spel	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:19
ATG (SE)	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
betPARX	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.67%E -4.41%K -10.36%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.48%E -0.997%K -1.28%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -6.16%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-20 23:20
BetRivers	1.72I 58.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.73%E -5.08%K -12.12%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -8.73%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -8.73%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-20 23:20
Grosvenor	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.32%EV -10.85%E -6.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -9.79%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.01%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-07-20 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)	1.68I 59.52%NM 53.00%EV -10.85%E -6.46%K -15.96%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.85%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-07-20 22:50
TABtouch	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.14%EV -11.38%E -6.82%K -16.99%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.85%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.30%E -3.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-07-20 23:19
Virgin Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 52.97%EV -12.44%E -7.54%K -19.14%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -12.97%E -3.16%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-20 23:20
LiveScore Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 52.97%EV -12.44%E -7.54%K -19.14%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.32%EV -12.97%E -3.16%K -4.19%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-07-20 23:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.