Language:English
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.94%47.55%47.51%50.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.0555.56%51.13%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vila Nova (Visit)
Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.027%
Kelly -0.036%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.55%24.49%24.49%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.754.0930.30%27.09%26.67%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.418%
Kelly -0.584%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.57%27.96%28.00%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.66%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 47.59%; Vila Nova (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 27.99%. For Vila Nova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.095. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.090, with an expected value of -0.112%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.82%EV -1.09%E -0.269%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV -0.112%E -0.027%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.70%EV -11.10%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -1.47%E -0.418%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.34%E -7.97%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |