Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova

Início: 2026-07-27 22:30 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–0 Vila Nova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Previsão 47.59%2.10odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.94%47.55%47.51%50.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.961.952.0555.56%51.13%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vila Nova (Visitante)

Previsão 24.42%4.09odd justa
EV -0.112%
Vantagem -0.027%
Kelly -0.036%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.55%24.49%24.49%26.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.693.754.0930.30%27.09%26.67%24.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.99%3.57odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.584%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.57%27.96%28.00%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.66%30.77%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 47.59%; Vila Nova (Visitante): 24.42%; Empate: 27.99%. Para Vila Nova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.095. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.090, com valor esperado de -0.112%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 22:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.82%EV -1.09%E -0.269%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 22:10
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV -0.112%E -0.027%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-27 22:20
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.70%EV -11.10%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -1.47%E -0.418%K -0.584%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-27 22:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-27 22:20
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 22:25
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 22:23
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 22:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-27 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:14
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.34%E -7.97%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-27 22:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%0.4%2026-07-27 22:20
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-07-27 22:25
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-07-27 22:20