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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.59%2.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.45%
Преимущество -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.94%47.55%47.51%50.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.961.952.0555.56%51.13%51.28%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Vila Nova (Гости)
Прогноз 24.42%4.09справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.112%
Преимущество -0.027%
Kelly -0.036%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.09
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.55%24.49%24.49%26.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.693.754.0930.30%27.09%26.67%24.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.99%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.47%
Преимущество -0.418%
Kelly -0.584%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.52
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.57%27.96%28.00%28.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.66%30.77%28.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Хозяева): 47.59%; Vila Nova (Гости): 24.42%; Ничья: 27.99%. Для исхода «Vila Nova (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.095. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.090, математическое ожидание — -0.112%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.82%EV -1.09%E -0.269%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV -0.112%E -0.027%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.70%EV -11.10%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -1.47%E -0.418%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.34%E -7.97%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |