La escuela de los momios

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Predicción 48.50%2.06momio equitativo
EV -6.40%
Ventaja -3.32%
Kelly -6.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.84%48.58%48.47%50.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.35%53.19%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vila Nova (Visitante)

Predicción 23.88%4.19momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.448%
Kelly -0.593%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%23.82%23.88%24.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.833.804.1127.78%26.09%26.32%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%27.61%27.65%28.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.04%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.01%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.01%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 17:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:25
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 10:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 22:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 10:54
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.71%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:54
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 22:34
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.28%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -5.90%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.08%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:45
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:47
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:55
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.52%EV -5.90%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 17:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 10:55
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 10:53
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:09
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 22:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 19:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 22:43
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 09:03
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:03
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:05
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:53
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 08:10
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -12.22%E -6.75%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 16:54
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 19:39
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.68%E -7.68%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.68%E -7.68%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 49.21%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%3.1%2026-07-26 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%6.2%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%6.2%2026-07-26 04:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%6.2%2026-07-26 04:05
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%7.6%2026-07-26 04:10