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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Predicción 47.59%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.94%47.55%47.51%50.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.952.0555.56%51.13%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV -0.112%
Ventaja -0.027%
Kelly -0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%24.49%24.49%26.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.754.0930.30%27.09%26.67%24.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.99%3.57momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.418%
Kelly -0.584%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.57%27.96%28.00%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.263.253.5232.26%30.66%30.77%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 47.59%; Vila Nova (Visitante): 24.42%; Empate: 27.99%. Para Vila Nova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.095. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.090, con un valor esperado de -0.112%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -2.45%E -1.19%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.94%EV -3.88%E -1.92%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.23%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.82%EV -1.09%E -0.269%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.52%EV -0.112%E -0.027%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.53%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.61%EV -0.600%E -0.147%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -3.43%E -0.995%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.11%EV -5.78%E -2.92%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.70%EV -11.10%E -3.05%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -1.47%E -0.418%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.30%EV -6.73%E -3.43%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.51%EV -18.18%E -5.43%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -7.21%E -3.70%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.17%EV -7.68%E -3.96%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -19.41%E -5.88%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.89%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.88%EV -8.16%E -4.23%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -11.83%E -3.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -16.96%E -4.99%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-27 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.11%E -4.77%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.23%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.59%E -5.05%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.43%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -11.01%E -5.89%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.03%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -14.34%E -7.97%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -7.63%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.80% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04% | 0.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |