L’École des cotes

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Vila Nova

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 48.50%2.06cote équitable
EV -6.40%
Avantage -3.32%
Kelly -6.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.84%48.58%48.47%50.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.35%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vila Nova (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.448%
Kelly -0.593%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.55%23.82%23.88%24.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.833.804.1127.78%26.09%26.32%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%27.61%27.65%28.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.333.303.5031.25%30.04%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.01%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.01%EV -1.84%E -0.448%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.98%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 17:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:25
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:34
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 10:54
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 22:30
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 12:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 22:35
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 10:54
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 19:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -4.71%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 10:54
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -7.86%E -4.13%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 22:34
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.28%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -5.90%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.08%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:45
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:47
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:55
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:39
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.67%EV -8.83%E -4.69%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.66%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.52%EV -5.90%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 17:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 10:55
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 10:53
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.26%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:09
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.01%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.61%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-22 22:55
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 19:40
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 22:43
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 09:03
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:03
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 23:05
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:53
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.25%E -6.15%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.02%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 08:10
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -12.22%E -6.75%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 16:54
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 19:39
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.68%E -7.68%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -13.68%E -7.68%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -11.64%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 48.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.55%3.7%2026-07-26 00:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%8.3%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.72%10.0%2026-07-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.72%10.0%2026-07-25 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.72%10.0%2026-07-25 22:45