Language:English
Ceará v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ceará (Local)
Prediction 46.19%2.16fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.08%46.40%46.17%49.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0954.64%50.39%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.674%
Kelly +0.875%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 4.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%23.46%24.04%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.933.904.3428.57%25.47%25.64%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.09%3.32fair odd
EV -0.698%
Edge -0.212%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%30.14%29.78%32.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.053.073.3034.72%32.82%32.57%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ceará (Local): 46.19%; Operario PR (Visit): 23.72%; Draw: 30.09%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.22. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV +2.92%E +0.674%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -1.58%E -0.381%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 18:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 18:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.85%E -5.62%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.51%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -0.698%E -0.212%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.90%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.32%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.15%E -3.56%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |