La escuela de los momiosCeará v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 46.19%2.16momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.08%46.40%46.17%49.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.982.002.0954.64%50.39%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 23.72%4.22momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +0.674%
Kelly +0.875%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%23.46%24.04%24.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.904.3428.57%25.47%25.64%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.09%3.32momio equitativo
EV -0.698%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%30.14%29.78%32.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.053.073.3034.72%32.82%32.57%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV +2.92%E +0.674%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -1.58%E -0.381%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 18:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 18:47 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.85%E -5.62%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.51%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -0.698%E -0.212%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.90%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.32%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.15%E -3.56%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |