A Escola das Odds

Ceará v Operario PR

Início: 2026-05-31 19:02 UTC

Final: Ceará 1–2 Operario PR

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Previsão 46.19%2.16odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -1.65%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.08%46.40%46.17%49.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.982.002.0954.64%50.39%50.00%47.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Operario PR (Visitante)

Previsão 23.72%4.22odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +0.674%
Kelly +0.875%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.51%23.46%24.04%24.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.933.904.3428.57%25.47%25.64%23.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.09%3.32odd justa
EV -0.698%
Vantagem -0.212%
Kelly -0.304%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.81%30.14%29.78%32.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.053.073.3034.72%32.82%32.57%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV +2.92%E +0.674%K +0.875%G +0.026%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 19:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 19:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -1.58%E -0.381%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 18:58
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:47
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 19:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 18:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 19:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 19:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 19:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.85%E -5.62%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.51%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 19:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:59
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:59
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 19:00
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 18:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -0.698%E -0.212%K -0.304%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.90%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.32%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 18:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.15%E -3.56%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 19:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 18:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 18:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-05-31 19:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-05-31 19:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-05-31 19:00