L’École des cotes

Ceará v Operario PR

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 19:02 UTC

Score final : Ceará 1–2 Operario PR

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ceará (Local)

Prévision 46.19%2.16cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.08%46.40%46.17%49.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.982.002.0954.64%50.39%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Operario PR (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.72%4.22cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +0.875%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%23.46%24.04%24.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.933.904.3428.57%25.47%25.64%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.09%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.698%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.304%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.81%30.14%29.78%32.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.053.073.3034.72%32.82%32.57%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV +2.92%E +0.674%K +0.875%G +0.026%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 19:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 18:59
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 19:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -1.58%E -0.381%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 18:58
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 18:47
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 19:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 18:59
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 19:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 18:59
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 19:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 19:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 19:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.85%E -5.62%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.51%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 19:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 18:59
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 18:59
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 19:00
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 18:59
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -0.698%E -0.212%K -0.304%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 18:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 18:59
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.90%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.32%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 18:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 18:59
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.15%E -3.56%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 19:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 18:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 18:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 18:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 18:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-05-31 19:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-05-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11%2.0%2026-05-31 19:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%2.6%2026-05-31 19:00