مدرسة الاحتمالاتCeará v Operario PR
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ceará (المضيف)
التنبؤ 46.19%2.16السعر العادل
EV -3.46%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -3.17%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.09
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.08%46.40%46.17%49.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.831.982.002.0954.64%50.39%50.00%47.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Operario PR (الضيف)
التنبؤ 23.72%4.22السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +0.674%
Kelly +0.875%
النمو +0.026%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.34
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.51%23.46%24.04%24.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.933.904.3428.57%25.47%25.64%23.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 30.09%3.32السعر العادل
EV -0.698%
الأفضلية -0.212%
Kelly -0.304%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.81%30.14%29.78%32.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.053.073.3034.72%32.82%32.57%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -4.38%E -2.12%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.17%EV +2.92%E +0.674%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.12%EV -5.77%E -2.83%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.00%EV -11.53%E -3.92%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV +1.97%E +0.459%K +0.598%G +0.012% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -0.397%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -1.58%E -0.381%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 18:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -9.00%E -4.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 18:47 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.07%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.77%E -0.675%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.21%E -1.65%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -5.14%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.01%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.85%E -5.62%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.51%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -8.22%E -2.70%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.61%E -3.81%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -3.46%E -1.65%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.62%EV -11.83%E -4.04%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -11.31%E -5.89%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.71%E -1.16%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -0.698%E -0.212%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -9.88%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.90%EV -3.92%E -1.88%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.77%EV -10.59%E -2.81%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -7.32%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -6.69%E -3.31%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.78%EV -7.15%E -3.56%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -6.72%E -2.17%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.77%E -6.16%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -9.92%E -5.09%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.25%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -9.73%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -5.30%E -2.59%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -13.44%E -3.68%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -15.47%E -8.45%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -13.34%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |