Oddsskolan

Botafogo v Fortaleza

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 22:17 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 26.44%3.78rättvist odds
EV +3.11%
Fördel +0.797%
Kelly +1.07%
Tillväxt +0.033%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.37%26.34%26.49%27.75%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.253.443.403.9030.77%29.06%29.41%25.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 42.99%2.33rättvist odds
EV -4.99%
Fördel -2.26%
Kelly -4.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.57%43.13%42.96%45.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 30.57%3.27rättvist odds
EV -0.646%
Fördel -0.199%
Kelly -0.287%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.77%30.54%30.54%31.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.80%33.33%30.77%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +3.11%E +0.797%K +1.07%G +0.033%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.99%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:14
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:14
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 22:14
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -10.12%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:14
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:14
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:13
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:14
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 22:14
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 22:14
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 22:14
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 22:14
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.87%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:03
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 22:14
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 22:14
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 22:14
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:15
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 22:14
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 22:12
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%2.6%2026-03-21 22:14