L’École des cotesFrançais
Botafogo v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 26.44%3.78cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +0.797%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%26.34%26.49%27.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.403.9030.77%29.06%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.99%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.99%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.57%43.13%42.96%45.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.57%3.27cote équitable
EV -0.646%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.77%30.54%30.54%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.80%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +3.11%E +0.797%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.99%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -10.12%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:13 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.87%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 22:03 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 22:12 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |