مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Botafogo v Fortaleza
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Botafogo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 26.44%3.78السعر العادل
EV +3.11%
الأفضلية +0.797%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.033%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.37%26.34%26.49%27.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.443.403.9030.77%29.06%29.41%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Fortaleza (الضيف)
التنبؤ 42.99%2.33السعر العادل
EV -4.99%
الأفضلية -2.26%
Kelly -4.12%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.57%43.13%42.96%45.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 30.57%3.27السعر العادل
EV -0.646%
الأفضلية -0.199%
Kelly -0.287%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.77%30.54%30.54%31.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.80%33.33%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +3.11%E +0.797%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.99%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -10.12%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:13 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.87%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 22:03 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 22:12 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |