La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Botafogo v Fortaleza
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Botafogo (Casa)
Previsione 26.44%3.78quota equa
EV +3.11%
Vantaggio +0.797%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.033%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.37%26.34%26.49%27.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.443.403.9030.77%29.06%29.41%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fortaleza (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.99%2.33quota equa
EV -4.99%
Vantaggio -2.26%
Kelly -4.12%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.57%43.13%42.96%45.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.57%3.27quota equa
EV -0.646%
Vantaggio -0.199%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.77%30.54%30.54%31.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.80%33.33%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +3.11%E +0.797%K +1.07%G +0.033% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.99%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -10.12%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:13 |
| BetUS | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betsson | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.87%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 22:03 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| BoyleSports | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 22:12 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 22:14 |