Szkoła Kursów

Botafogo v Fortaleza

Początek: 2026-03-21 22:17 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Botafogo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 26.44%3.78kurs godziwy
EV +3.11%
Przewaga +0.797%
Kelly +1.07%
Wzrost +0.033%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.37%26.34%26.49%27.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.443.403.9030.77%29.06%29.41%25.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fortaleza (Goście)

Prognoza 42.99%2.33kurs godziwy
EV -4.99%
Przewaga -2.26%
Kelly -4.12%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.21

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.57%43.13%42.96%45.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.78%46.51%45.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.57%3.27kurs godziwy
EV -0.646%
Przewaga -0.199%
Kelly -0.287%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.77%30.54%30.54%31.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.853.053.003.2535.09%32.80%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +3.11%E +0.797%K +1.07%G +0.033%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.99%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -7.37%E -2.43%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 22:14
1xBet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -1.12%E -0.300%K -0.410%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.28%EV -8.59%E -2.87%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 22:14
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -2.18%E -0.589%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.02%E -7.01%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 22:14
Marathon Bet3.62I 27.62%NM 25.59%EV -4.30%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.51%EV -10.12%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 22:14
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 22:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:14
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:13
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.82%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.53%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 22:14
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 22:14
Betsson3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 22:14
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 22:14
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 22:14
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -12.87%E -4.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.47%E -2.13%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Codere (IT)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.79%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.40%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.82%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -0.646%E -0.199%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 22:15
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.28%EV -7.14%E -3.30%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.17%E -0.680%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 22:03
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 22:14
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 22:14
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 22:14
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -10.11%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.35%E -3.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 22:14
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:15
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 22:14
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -3.70%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 22:12
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:15
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.76%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.29%E -2.76%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 22:14
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -14.08%E -4.33%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -10.58%E -5.08%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 22:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.57%0.7%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%1.6%2026-03-21 22:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.62%2.2%2026-03-21 22:14
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.43%2.6%2026-03-21 22:14