Language:English
Botafogo v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo (Local)
Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.60%38.38%38.12%41.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.382.5845.45%42.01%42.02%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 29.38%3.40fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.60%29.12%29.47%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.173.4533.33%31.14%31.55%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.42%3.08fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.50%32.51%32.41%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.41%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo (Local): 38.19%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 29.38%; Draw: 32.42%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -1.46%E -0.568%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.51%E -3.81%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 18:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 18:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-19 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10% | 1.1% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 1.4% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.06% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 18:55 |